In my previous posts a player only had to be off one spot from the standard player rater to earn a color change, but because of the vast amount of players I've decided to make it two spots for outfielders. Italics indicates a player missed a significant portion of time.
- Mike Trout (19.74)
- Ryan Braun (19.43)
- Andrew McCutchen (16.34)
- Josh Hamilton (14.17)
- Alex Rios (12.44)
- Adam Jones (11.48)
- Carlos Gonzalez (11.33)
- Giancarlo Stanton (10.99)
- Matt Holliday (10.84)
- Melky Cabrera (10.06)
- Carlos Beltran (9.63)
- Josh Willingham (9.55)
- Jason Heyward (9.55)
- Austin Jackson (9.20)
- Yoenis Cespedes (9.17)
- Curtis Granderson (9.04)
- Torii Hunter (8.87)
- Jay Bruce (8.82)
- Allen Craig (8.72)
- Matt Kemp (8.53)
- Shin-Soo Choo (8.47)
- Corey Hart (8.38)
- Michael Bourn (8.24)
- Alex Gordon (8.10)
- Ben zobrist (8.10)
- Justin Upton (8.05)
- Angel Pagan (8.03)
- Alfonso Soriano (8.02)
- Bryce Harper (7.99)
- B.J. Upton (7.96)
- Martin Prado (7.96)
- Norichika Aoki (7.62)
- Chris Davis (7.46)
- Carlos Gomez (7.41)
- Mark Trumbo (7.34)
- Nick Swisher (7.12)
- David Murphy (7.07)
- Andre Ethier (6.92)
- Dexter Fowler (6.92)
- Garrett Jones (6.73)
- Nelson Cruz (6.61)
- Josh Reddick (6.51)
- Jason Kubel (6.48)
- Tyler Colvin (6.47)
- Alejandro De Aza (6.24)
- Coco Crisp (6.12)
- Ryan Ludwick (6.11)
- Ichiro Suzuki (5.84)
- Hunter Pence (5.76)
- Shane Victorino (5.71)
- Rajai Davis (5.54)
- Cody Ross (5.43)
- Juan Pierre (5.30)
- Jose Bautista (5.24)
- Ben Revere (5.22)
- Jon Jay (5.15)
- Justin Ruggiano (5.04)
- Brandon Moss (4.82)
- Desmond Jennings (4.75)
- Michael Saunders (4.67)
- Nick Markakis (4.50)
- Will Venable (4.35)
- Michael Brantley (4.25)
- Michael Morse (4.08)
- Ryan Doumit (4.07)
- Scott Hairston (4.07)
- Dayan Viciedo (3.79)
- Denard Span (3.73)
- Chris Denorfia (3.66)
- Michael Cuddyer (3.59)
- Andy Dirks (3.52)
- Jonny Gomes (3.08)
- David DeJesus (2.85)
- Delmon Young (2.51)
- Carlos Quentin (2.48)
- Gerardo Parra (2.45)
- Jayson Werth (2.40)
- Matt Joyce (2.22)
- Raul Ibanez (2.12)
- Cameron Maybin (2.08)
Onto our rankings.
Tier 1 - Mike Trout, Ryan Braun, Andrew McCutchen, Matt Kemp, Giancarlo Stanton
This is the group of guys that I believe have a fair shot at being the top outfielder at the end of the season. Every year for the past six years a different outfielder has finished on top and I would not be surprised to see it happen again. The first three have already done it and are the front-runners, but anything can happen and usually does.
Tier 2 - Carlos Gonzalez, Jose Bautista, Josh Hamilton, Justin Upton, Jason Heyward
It's a slight step down from the previous tier. All of these guys have the ability to be first round talent, but don't pay for it.
It's a slight step down from the previous tier. All of these guys have the ability to be first round talent, but don't pay for it.
Tier 3 - Bryce Harper, Adam Jones, Jay Bruce, Matt Holliday, Yoenis Cespedes, Jacoby Ellsbury
All these guys have the potential to be an elite outfielder like the first two tiers but there's more risk. Whether it's age, inexperience, or injury risk; they're only worth a pick if the price is right.
Tier 4 - Ben Zobrist, Allen Craig, Desmond Jennings, B.J. Upton, Josh Willingham, Alex Gordon, Michael Bourn, Shin-Soo Choo, Austin Jackson, Martin Prado, Carlos Beltran, Curtis Granderson
You're probably gonna draft Zobrist as a middle-infielder and if that's the case I'm ok with taking him before 50. The rest of these guys I'm willing to wait and see who's left, which is usually Willingham, and I'm perfectly happy with that.
You're probably gonna draft Zobrist as a middle-infielder and if that's the case I'm ok with taking him before 50. The rest of these guys I'm willing to wait and see who's left, which is usually Willingham, and I'm perfectly happy with that.
Tier 5 - Alex Rios, Nelson Cruz, Jason Kubel, Mark Trumbo, Shane Victorino, Chris Davis
None of these guys will be mistaken for 5-tool players, but they should give you a solid OPS and a good spot in the batting order to get the counting stats.
Tier 6 - Andre Ethier, Hunter Pence, Carl Crawford, Alejandro De Aza, Michael Morse, Torii Hunter, Nick Markakis, Josh Reddick, Brett Gardner, Michael Cuddyer
Some of you may argue that one or some of these guys belong in the tier above but I see more risk. Many of these guys have been in the top 30 before and it could happen again but there's clear downside as well.
Tier 7 - Ben Revere, Angel Pagan, Cameron Maybin, Lorenzo Cain, Nick Swisher, Melky Cabrera, Norichikia Aoki, Dexter Fowler, Carlos Gomez, Wil Myers, Alfonso Soriano
This is where we sacrifice some power to get some speed, or we go with some guys with big upside but also big risk.
This is where we sacrifice some power to get some speed, or we go with some guys with big upside but also big risk.
Tier 8 - Coco Crisp, Ichiro Suzuki, Dayan Viciedo, Jayson Werth, Corey Hart, Garrett Jones, Colby Rasmus, Emilio Bonifacio, Jon Jay, Justin Ruggiano, Ryan Ludwick, Brandon Moss, Starling Marte, Michael Brantley, Logan Morrison, Adam Eaton, Darin Mastraoini, Lucas Duda
There's going to be quite a bit of variance with guys in this group based on who you ask but this is the group of guys that Northrop and I could agree on the most. Half of these guys were left off one of our initial rankings, but were high enough on the other's to make the cut.
Outfield is deep. Unless you're in a crazy deep league you're always going to be able find somebody towards the end of your draft to fill your final outfield spot as there's at least a dozen guys I left off this list that are expected to get everyday at-bats and have some upside. Be aware of guys that could get stuck in a platoon, although platoons aren't necessarily bad in leagues with OPS, and can be very beneficial if you have the bench space to mix and match. As we progress through spring training these rankings are likely to change as battles are sorted out.
Outfield is deep. Unless you're in a crazy deep league you're always going to be able find somebody towards the end of your draft to fill your final outfield spot as there's at least a dozen guys I left off this list that are expected to get everyday at-bats and have some upside. Be aware of guys that could get stuck in a platoon, although platoons aren't necessarily bad in leagues with OPS, and can be very beneficial if you have the bench space to mix and match. As we progress through spring training these rankings are likely to change as battles are sorted out.
Rankings for starting and relieving pitchers will be posted later this week.
do you have an intention of coverting your numbers rankings into dollars - the 6 x 6 pool i'am a part of has a $260 limit - and there are simply not alot of articles anywhere that have predictions based on dollars for 6 x 6 pools
ReplyDeleteDollar values are going to vary whether you're in a shallow 12-team league or a deep 20-team league so it makes it hard to establish one amount for each player. If you're in a shallow league you can use the dollar values a site has and just replace the names with our overall rankings which should be posted early next week.
ReplyDeleteFor football I used ESPN's custom dollar value generator to get an idea of how much I should be spending depending on the rank. I'm not sure if they do that for baseball or not.
I'm not certain i can agree with your comment about varying -the way i see it is, the dollar values are based on the 6 x 6 categories - so reality is doesnt matter how deep the leagues are - regardless, of how many teams are involved in your pool - you just have to manage to your total money value (in our case, as in most cases that total money value is $260) - based on your rankings, i'm lead to believe that our evaluations of talent are similar, unfortunately, I have to work towards dollars - as i had mentioned previously there are not alot of sites that offer dollar values for 6 x 6 leagues - hence, when i saw your posts, re: 6 x 6 i thought i was on to something -
ReplyDeleteIf you do any mock auctioning on ESPN you will see there is a big difference in the default values of 10-team and 12-team leagues. In a 10-team league, Ryan Braun's value is at $35 and in a 12-team league Braun's value is at $41. When you add an extra $520 to the pool of money that money has to go somewhere. The deeper you go the value for the elite players are going to go up.
ReplyDelete